Why Latinos Don't Tend To Support The GOP

OPINION: Is It All About Immigration For Latinos When It Comes To The GOP?
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 14: Immigration reform advocates stage a demonstration, organized by the New York Immigration Coalition, outside a detention facility run by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) on June 14, 2013 in New York City. Demonstrators staged the event ahead of Fathers' Day to draw attention to the thousands of undocumented immigrant fathers deported by ICE and separated from their families in the United States. (Photo by John Moore/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 14: Immigration reform advocates stage a demonstration, organized by the New York Immigration Coalition, outside a detention facility run by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) on June 14, 2013 in New York City. Demonstrators staged the event ahead of Fathers' Day to draw attention to the thousands of undocumented immigrant fathers deported by ICE and separated from their families in the United States. (Photo by John Moore/Getty Images)

Pundits left and right have embraced the notion that the Republican Party has a strong political interest in passing comprehensive immigration reform. As the argument goes, the GOP lost a good shot at the presidency in 2012 because of a pro-Obama shift among Latino voters, which itself was a reaction to the GOP’s increasingly anti-immigration stance.

There is circumstantial evidence backing that view. According to exit polls, the share of Latino voters supporting the GOP candidate dropped from approximately 40 percent in 2004 to 27 percent in 2012. An election eve phone survey by Latino Decisions in 2012 put Mitt Romney’s share even lower, at 23 percent.

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