POLITICS

Kool-Aid 'Outliers'

Nov 16, 2012

S.V. Dáte revisits predictions by pollsters who were "drinking that Republican Kool-Aid."

Frank Newport says Gallup will review its likely voter procedures and warns of dangers in poll aggregation.

Alexander Burns reports on the Republican polling debacle.

Reid Wilson talks to Republicans grappling with polling failures.

Paul Ryan was surprised by his ticket's loss because he thought the polls looked good, Bill Glauber reports.

Scott Rasmussen tells Dave Weigel why his polls missed.

Andrew Kohut reviews how to read -- and misread -- the 2012 election.

Nate Cohn says Ohio wasn't such an Obama firewall after all.

Harry Enten explores the demographic discrepancy between pre-election surveys and exit polls.

Sam Wang weighs whether Sandy moved opinion in the final week of the campaign; Patrick Murray considers how Hurricane Sandy affected New Jersey's vote.

Alex Madrigal chronicles the story behind Team Obama's Narwhal data platform.

Bill McInturff offers his perspective on their 2012 polling.

Brett LoGuirato profiles PPP and their methodology.

Ruy Teixeira called 2012 in 2002, says Benjy Sarlin.

Drew Linzer evaluates his forecasting model.

2012 voters included a third who were cell-phone only, exit polls show.

Jonathan Bernstein revisits the usefulness of leaked exit polls.

Scott Keeter briefs on the Pew Research Center's pilot tests of Google Consumer Surveys.

Michael Dimock named director of Pew Research's political polling unit.

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